
Viacom's Financial Results--2004
jzarley |
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Keep in mind the quote about "possible suitors" is from the author of the article in the New York Post, not from Viacom or any of the potentially involved companies. Dennis Spiegel, who runs one of the most successful attraction consulting companies (based in Cincinnati, BTW) had this to say in an article in a Toronto paper: ---------------------------------------------------- The operations could sell for between $800-million and $1-billion, according to industry watcher Dennis Speigel, the president of consultancy International Theme Park Services Inc. He said in an interview from his office in Cincinnati that Viacom has been shopping the division around for a couple of weeks.
There are six major operators of theme parks in North America, which account for nearly 75 per cent of all theme park receipts. The other big five are under pressure to improve their own balance sheets and likely won't bid on Paramount, Mr. Speigel said. He expects one of the large private equity companies to put in an offer.
βIn my opinion, the way to go with this is to take it private,β he said, adding that while growth within the industry has been flat in recent years, operators have stable revenues β which large buyout firms like Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co., Blackstone Group and Apollo Management crave. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------
You don't have to dig very far into the "other five's" balance sheets to realize what taking on a BILLION dollars worth of debt would do to them. (The other five BTW, would be Six Flags, Cedar Fair, Disney, Busch, and NBC/Universal.) One of which is already in so much debt that they probably can't even get a corporate Amex card at this point (SF); two have also said they've considered getting out of the park business all together (Busch & NBC), and the other isn't big enough to take on a BILLION dollar acquisition without leveraging all their other assets to the hilt (CF). Not to mention, Kinzel and his team have been too smart about growth and building shareholder value to risk it in a flashy move like this.
HOWEVER--if Paramount Parks was spun off into an independent company (like Blockbuster was), I guess I could see a situation where the new company and Cedar Fair could merge (as equals) to form a new combined company. It appears that Paramount has a pretty strong management team in Charlotte, and Kinzel is retiring in 2007, but no sucessor has yet been named. Hmmmmm.....
But in probability, as I said a few weeks ago...my prediction would be a sale to a large equity firm or REIT, who'll license the media properties from Viacom. That's the win/win situation for everyone...
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